Episode 10

[Holly Hoffman]

Now we're down to the final 9. You have already managed to outlast half of the season's cast!

Explain the dynamics of this merge tribe. Where does everyone stand? Where do you sit in the pecking order?

Give me a rating of your own chances at winning this game. Also for the rest of the remaining players.

[Lex]

The reason I said tonight would be the most important vote was because if it was successful we would be golden going into the next few days. Gabriel and Patricia voted with Linda, Sean, V and I which gives us a 6-3 numbers advantage going into the next days, so we can split the votes and negate idols until there is one member left from the other alliance. I think nobody will defect from our side either since Gabriel trusts me and Patricia has legitimate reasons to vote with us against the other alliance, so hopefully we can make F6.

Af F6, it's a different story though, I'm not sure who the targets will be yet... I'm thinking it won't be me for awhile because Linda/Sean/Gabriel all would like to ally with me going into F6 as a swing vote (I imagine it will be Sean/V as a pair, Pat/Gabe as a pair, and then there's Linda and I as tiebreakers)

So there's no real pecking order for F6 yet.

For people's chances of winning the game:
Vecepia: 0%. With so much jury hate I can't see any possible scenario where she wins...
The other 5 are hard to decide, I think if I make it to FTC I have a great shot at winning, the only thing I'm cautious about is people might not vote for me because they might think I haven't done much in terns of strategy since I'm not too public about what I'm doing.

Right now I think if anyone makes it to FTC this is the way the Jury will vote:

Sean > Gabriel/me (?) > Patricia > Linda > Vecepia.

[Lex]

I don't know whether the jury would vote Gabriel or me if it was us in the FTC, and I think right now Sean is most likely to win the FTC out of us 6 if he is there.

[Lex]

Right now us 6 (me, Linda, Lex, Sean, Gabriel, Patricia) are planning to split the votes but Sean thinks Gabriel & Patricia might be up to something, I hope they aren't since I did the math wrong and if one of them were to defect to the other tribe the numbers would be 4-4. Plus they might have an idol.

I don't think Gabriel would defect right now, Patricia might...

[Lex]

Well, I was wrong. At least I wasn't the one voted out tonight. Things are going to get a lot tougher from here on though since Linda, Sean and I are down in numbers with both Pat/Gabe flipping. :|